Sharp cluster buying upset
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Liquid and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 21 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Heroic. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Four wallets piled into Heroic at 39-44¢, including three with extraordinary 95-97% win rates, making this a strong coordinated sharp-bettor signal despite the market later moving hard against them.
Total
$15,158
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three of the four wallets win 95-97% of their bets and have made $315k to $976k lifetime.
- The group bought Heroic heavily at 39-44¢, putting $15.2k into the underdog in a fast-moving esports market.
- This was coordinated flow across 4 wallets, and market volume was running 19.2x above normal when they entered.
Copy Trade
Buy Heroic at 43¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 7:30 AM