97% winner fades favorite

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Henrique Rocha in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A serial cross-market trader with a 97% win rate sold the heavy favorite, which translates into a buy on Henrique Rocha at 15¢ and is notable despite the modest ticket size.
Total
$1,701
Trades
1
Win Rate
97%
Wallet P&L
+$4,065
Analysis
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades across 466 bets and has traded 341 markets.
- They sold the 85¢ favorite, which is equivalent to buying Henrique Rocha at 15¢.
- The bet is small versus market liquidity, but the trader’s long track record makes the contrarian side worth watching.
Copy Trade
Buy Henrique Rocha at 15¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM