3-wallet fade of favorite

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Pliskova and Sinja Kraus in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Pliskova' if Karolina Pliskova advances against Sinja Kraus. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Karolina Pliskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three wallets aggressively sold the market favorite at 83-89¢, driving a 29-point price drop amid a 14x volume spike, which looks like coordinated conviction on Pliskova rather than routine flow.
Total
$10,627
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three wallets hit Sinja Kraus at 83-89¢ for $10.6k total and pushed her price down 29 points.
- This came during a 14.1x volume spike, suggesting fast consensus that the market was badly mispriced.
- One wallet is only 5 days old but has already made 16 other flagged bets, which adds to the conviction signal.
Copy Trade
Buy Karolina Pliskova at 14¢
Detected April 22, 2026 at 4:43 PM