Thin-market sharp follow

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Jesper de Jong in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Jodar” if Rafael Jodar wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jong” if Jesper de Jong wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
A very active cross-market bettor with 1,227 resolved trades bought Jong aggressively in a thin set-winner market, and the price has since moved from 72% to 100%.
Total
$1,853
Trades
1
Win Rate
61%
Wallet P&L
+$47,657
Analysis
- This bettor has 1,227 resolved trades and is up $61k overall, which makes this more than a random one-off bet.
- They put nearly $1.9k into a thin market with only about $8.4k of daily volume and a very shallow book.
- They bought Jong at 72¢ and the market is now at 100¢, so the move already went strongly in their favor.
Copy Trade
Buy Jong at 72¢
Detected April 22, 2026 at 6:26 PM