New wallet fading consensus

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 23 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 23 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
A brand-new wallet made a meaningful bet against the heavily favored side while pushing price sharply beyond its prior range, which is notable for a fresh directional position in a modest-liquidity market.
Total
$1,108
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
-$17
Analysis
- An 18-hour-old wallet opened a $1.1k position against the 88% favorite on this market.
- The trade moved price hard, with a roughly 29-point break beyond the prior range.
- Buying at 12¢ implies they think the market is badly overpricing Down.
Copy Trade
Buy Up at 12¢
Detected April 23, 2026 at 4:41 AM