Pro bettor in thin market

This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Supernova in the North American Challengers League Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 23 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win Game 1 against Supernova. This market will resolve to "Supernova" if Supernova win Game 1 against Conviction. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A proven high-volume bettor with 1,474 resolved markets made a nearly $2k buy into a thin esports market, a meaningful conviction signal despite only a moderate composite score.
Total
$1,925
Trades
1
Win Rate
61%
Wallet P&L
+$241,558
Analysis
- This bettor has won 61% of 1,474 resolved markets and is up about $104k lifetime
- They put $1,925 into a market with only $4,974 of 24-hour volume and $1,148 of liquidity
- Bought Conviction at 61¢ in a wide-spread esports market, showing real conviction rather than routine flow
Copy Trade
Buy Conviction at 61¢
Detected April 23, 2026 at 10:42 PM