84% win-rate fade
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Pliskova and Maria Sakkari in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Pliskova' if Karolina Pliskova advances against Maria Sakkari. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Karolina Pliskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A proven sharp sports bettor with an 84% win rate sold Karolina at 87¢ just before the market ripped to 100%, which converts into a buy on Maria Sakkari at 13¢ and is notable despite the modest size because it goes against a fast one-sided move.
Total
$1,279
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$64,126
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up nearly $40k across 311 resolved bets
- They sold Karolina at 87¢ during a sharp late surge, which is equivalent to buying Maria Sakkari at 13¢
- The market saw a 230x volume spike and an 18.5-point price jump, so this trader was fading a fast crowd move
Copy Trade
Buy Maria Sakkari at 13¢
Detected April 24, 2026 at 10:53 AM