Profitable whale in thin market

In the upcoming FA Cup game between Manchester City FC and Southampton FC, scheduled for April 25 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Manchester City FC and Southampton FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on thefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A profitable high-volume sports trader put nearly $21k into Over on an almost inactive market, a bet large enough to dwarf recent flow and signal real conviction.
Total
$20,950
Trades
1
Win Rate
55%
Wallet P&L
+$232,903
Analysis
- This bettor is up about $233k across 87 resolved bets and has traded 99 events.
- They dropped nearly $21k on Over while this market had only $30 of 24-hour volume.
- The bet went in around 49¢, suggesting they see Over as better than a coin flip despite a quiet market.
Copy Trade
Buy Over at 49¢
Detected April 24, 2026 at 10:22 PM