Profitable serial sports bettor

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly proven sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $401k profit is making another event-driven bet, making this trade worth tracking despite the modest size in a liquid market.
Total
$1,469
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$404,752
Analysis
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $401k across 807 resolved bets
- They have traded 58 separate events for $140k, showing a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off swing
- They bought Daniil Medvedev at 59¢, a level that now looks much better with the market at 42¢
Copy Trade
Buy Daniil Medvedev at 59¢
Detected April 28, 2026 at 7:35 PM