Profitable contrarian tennis bet

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A proven profitable cross-market trader with nearly $370k in profits just bought Medvedev into a fast 22.5-point price drop, suggesting a deliberate contrarian entry worth watching.
Total
$3,700
Trades
1
Win Rate
62%
Wallet P&L
+$490,098
Analysis
- This bettor has 215 resolved trades, wins 60% of them, and is up $369k overall.
- They bought Medvedev at 39¢ right as the price fell 22.5 points in under 3 minutes.
- Entry at 39¢ means they are betting against a market now pricing Medvedev at just 26%.
Copy Trade
Buy Daniil Medvedev at 39¢
Detected April 28, 2026 at 8:47 PM