96% winner buying underdog

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Nigma Galaxy and South America Rejects in the DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 3 against South America Rejects. This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects win Game 3 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Elite esports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and long cross-market history bought Nigma Galaxy, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
Total
$1,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
91%
Wallet P&L
+$383,110
Analysis
- This bettor has won 86 of 90 resolved trades and is up $116.8K lifetime.
- They have traded 90 markets across 72 events with a 96% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- They bought Nigma Galaxy at 45¢, while the market now prices it much lower at about 26¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Nigma Galaxy at 45¢
Detected May 1, 2026 at 4:47 PM