Profitable MLB bettor on underdog

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for May 5 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Despite weak automated signals, this is a profitable high-volume sports bettor taking a sizable underdog spread position in a relatively small MLB market.
Total
$4,796
Trades
2
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$2,767,760
Analysis
- This bettor has a long track record: 71% wins across 4,590 resolved bets and $2.77M in profit.
- The $4.8K position is large for this market, equal to roughly half of its 24h volume.
- They bought Pittsburgh at 43¢, implying they see value well above the current 36¢ market price.
Copy Trade
Buy Pittsburgh Pirates at 43¢
Detected May 6, 2026 at 2:53 AM