Serial trader buying thin market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on May 7 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
A profitable serial cross-market trader made a large thin-market Yes bet, but the position has moved sharply against them since entry.
Total
$3,600
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$12,890
Analysis
- This bettor has won 74% of resolved trades and is up about $20.8k lifetime.
- The $3.6k buy was over 70% of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a thin market.
- They paid 72¢ for Yes, but the market has since fallen to about 32¢, so this is now a cheaper but higher-risk follow.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 72¢
Detected May 7, 2026 at 6:22 PM