High-hit-rate thin-market bet
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
A high-volume bettor with a 78% historical hit rate made an outsized Yes bet in a very quiet Eurovision market, though lifetime P&L is negative and the entry is now underwater.
Total
$2,087
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
-$73,554
Analysis
- This bettor has won 78% of nearly 2,000 resolved trades, showing a strong hit rate despite negative lifetime profit.
- The $2.1K Yes buy was over 10x the market’s 24h volume, making it a large conviction bet in a quiet order book.
- They are also positioned across another Eurovision market, suggesting a broader view on the event.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 71¢
Detected May 10, 2026 at 11:56 AM