Profitable sports whale fade

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for May 11 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Despite a weak raw win rate, this is a profitable high-volume sports wallet fading Tampa Bay amid a large pre-event volume spike and meaningful price move.
Total
$5,213
Trades
1
Win Rate
42%
Wallet P&L
-$543,443
Analysis
- This bettor is up $325,867 across $31.1M traded, suggesting meaningful experience in sports markets.
- They sold $5,213 of Tampa Bay at 71¢, which is equivalent to buying Toronto around 29¢.
- The market has seen a 17.5x volume spike and a sharp 19-point move, so this trade is part of notable pre-game flow.
Copy Trade
Buy Toronto Blue Jays at 29¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 11:58 PM