99% winner fades weather spike

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Despite a weak low-activity signal, the wallet has an exceptional 99% resolved win rate and is buying No against a large one-day price move in a thin weather market.
Total
$1,514
Trades
1
Win Rate
99%
Wallet P&L
+$9,484
Analysis
- This bettor has won 595 of 602 resolved bets and is up about $9,000 lifetime.
- They bought No at 76¢ after the market moved sharply toward Yes, suggesting a strong contrarian view.
- The market is thin, with only about $600 in liquidity, so a $1,514 bet is meaningful size.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 76¢
Detected May 12, 2026 at 2:43 PM