Profitable whale on quiet market
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Large No buy dwarfs recent volume on a quiet Eurovision market, and the bettor has a long profitable history despite not meeting the sharp override threshold.
Total
$6,692
Trades
1
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
+$170,605
Analysis
- This bettor is up $171K across 823 resolved bets, with a large $6.7K position here.
- The buy was nearly 6x the market’s 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.
- They entered No at 67¢, above the current 64¢, after a fast price move toward No.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 67¢
Detected May 13, 2026 at 10:45 PM