Profitable contrarian dip buy

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Athletics, scheduled for May 13 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Despite a mediocre win rate, this profitable high-volume wallet bought the Cardinals after a major collapse from the mid-40s to 10¢, creating a contrarian price-impact setup.
Total
$1,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
44%
Wallet P&L
+$79,653
Analysis
- This bettor is up about $49k lifetime across $690k traded, despite only winning 43% of resolved bets.
- They bought Cardinals at 10¢ after the market crashed from roughly the mid-40s to single digits.
- The move is contrarian: current odds imply only about an 8–10% chance, so the payoff is large if the rebound thesis is right.
Copy Trade
Buy St. Louis Cardinals at 10¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 3:31 AM