Sharp bettor fading favorite

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between NAVI Junior and MANA eSports in the European Pro League Regular Group A, initially scheduled for May 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NAVI Junior" if NAVI Junior win the match against MANA eSports. This market will resolve to "MANA eSports" if MANA eSports win the match against NAVI Junior. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sharp esports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and $105k profit is fading MANA on a relatively quiet CS2 market.
Total
$1,311
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$105,362
Analysis
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $105k lifetime.
- They are fading the 69% favorite in a small esports market with only $5.4k traded today.
- Selling MANA at 70¢ is equivalent to buying NAVI Junior around 30¢.
Copy Trade
Buy NAVI Junior at 30¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 2:46 PM