Profitable serial trader fades longshot

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is fading a speculative longshot by effectively buying No at 85¢.
Total
$1,212
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$476,556
Analysis
- This bettor has a huge track record: 20,837 resolved trades with $165,770 in lifetime profit.
- They are effectively buying No at 85¢ on a speculative acquisition market that still has nearly two years to resolve.
- The wallet has traded across 271 events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 9:24 PM