Cross-market reality-TV whale

Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3 is scheduled to premiere on March 12, 2026 on Netflix. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person featured in Love Is Blind: Sweden: Season 3 becomes engaged to another participant. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If a listed participant leaves the named show or it is otherwise no longer possible for them to become engaged during the relevant season of this show, this market will resolve to "No". If the finale is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the show is officially cancelled, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official Netflix footage of the show. If official footage is ambiguous, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
A single wallet has built a large cross-market Love Is Blind thesis, selling No on a nearly illiquid market as part of about $35k across six related markets.
Total
$3,762
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$908
Analysis
- This bettor has placed about $35k across 6 related markets, suggesting a broad thesis on this season.
- The trade is large for the market: $3.8k on a market with only about $8k in 24h volume and almost no visible liquidity.
- Selling No at 47¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 53¢, implying they think Anna is more likely than the market shows.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 53¢
Detected May 15, 2026 at 5:31 PM