Sharp favorite fade

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A profitable 79% winner and two other wallets all moved toward MOUZ, though the largest leg was a Spirit profit-taking exit rather than a fresh MOUZ buy.
Total
$10,503
Trades
3
Analysis
- A bettor who wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $5.7k sold Spirit at 80¢, effectively taking the MOUZ side at 20¢.
- Three wallets put $10.5k in the same direction on MOUZ during a 28x volume spike.
- MOUZ is now around 18¢, cheaper than the cluster’s roughly 21¢ average entry.
Copy Trade
Buy MOUZ at 21¢
Detected May 16, 2026 at 11:14 AM