Profitable serial fight bettor

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Alice Ardelean and Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Alice Ardelean and Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $3.0M lifetime profit placed a sizable $9.8k bet on Under in a relatively small UFC rounds market.
Total
$9,832
Trades
1
Win Rate
59%
Wallet P&L
+$3,036,373
Analysis
- This bettor has won 59% of 446 resolved trades and is up $3.0M lifetime.
- They put $9.8k on Under, a large bet versus the market’s $28k daily volume.
- Entry at 38¢ implies a roughly 2.6x payout if the fight ends before the 2.5-round mark.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 38¢
Detected May 16, 2026 at 9:56 PM