Sharp contrarian on underdog
This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A highly profitable 81% win-rate bettor joined a 4-wallet contrarian Costa position, though the market has since moved sharply toward Arnold Allen.
Total
$7,636
Trades
4
Analysis
- The lead Costa buyer wins 81% of resolved bets and is up about $899k lifetime.
- Four wallets put $7.6k on Costa or against Allen, creating a coordinated underdog fade.
- This is high-risk: Costa entries were around 50¢ earlier, but the market has since crashed to 10¢ after heavy Allen buying.
Copy Trade
Buy Melquizael Costa at 53¢
Detected May 17, 2026 at 3:04 AM