Profitable thin-market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
A profitable 77% winner made a large No bet in an extremely quiet silver market, with the trade dwarfing recent volume and fitting a broader cross-market thesis.
Total
$1,612
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$23,513
Analysis
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $18,243 lifetime.
- Their $1,612 No buy was nearly 97x the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a very quiet market.
- They have $6,020 positioned across related markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 78¢
Detected May 18, 2026 at 1:02 AM