96% macro event bettor

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 19 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 19 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Surface because this is a very high-sample sharp wallet with a 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L betting Down on a same-day SPX open market.
Total
$1,659
Trades
1
Win Rate
96%
Wallet P&L
+$33,941
Analysis
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades, with 794 wins and $31k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 52 events with $363k in similar activity.
- They bought Down at 89¢ on a market resolving today, suggesting confidence despite limited upside.
Copy Trade
Buy Down at 89¢
Detected May 19, 2026 at 12:16 PM