84% winner fades favorite

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 19, 2026 If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Surfaced because one wallet in the No cluster has an 84% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L, though the broader market flow is strongly against this side.
Total
$8,304
Trades
5
Analysis
- A bettor who wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $26k effectively bought No at 38¢.
- Four wallets put $8.3k on Chelsea not winning, making this a contrarian fade of the current 66% Yes price.
- The caution is that larger flow is opposite: 9 wallets bought $93.9k of Yes and pushed the market up 20 points.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 38¢
Detected May 19, 2026 at 7:40 PM