Thin-market $4K No bet

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 12, 2026 If Audax CS Italiano wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A single wallet made a $4K equivalent No bet in an extremely thin soccer market, coinciding with a rapid 20-point price move, though the wallet has no resolved track record.
Total
$4,001
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
+$3,359
Analysis
- A $4K bet hit a market showing only $261 of liquidity, making it a high-conviction move for this book.
- The market moved 20 points in under 4 minutes, suggesting this trade came during a sharp repricing.
- Selling Yes at 50¢ is equivalent to buying No at 50¢, versus current No odds around 52¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 50¢
Detected May 21, 2026 at 3:45 AM