Profitable whale on thin book

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for May 22 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the St. Louis Cardinals or Cincinnati Reds. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A profitable high-volume wallet put $4.5k on No in an extremely thin MLB first-inning market, dwarfing recent market activity despite the price later moving against them.
Total
$4,500
Trades
2
Win Rate
44%
Wallet P&L
+$79,653
Analysis
- This wallet is up $167k lifetime and placed $4.5k on No in a market with only $198 traded in the last day.
- The bet was more than 22x recent daily volume, suggesting unusually strong conviction for this quiet market.
- They entered at 49¢, while No is now around 44¢, so the same side is currently available cheaper than their entry.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 49¢
Detected May 23, 2026 at 5:20 PM