96% winner buying underdog spread

In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for May 24 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Surfaced because a highly profitable sharp bettor with a 96% resolved-bet win rate bought Cagliari Calcio on the spread despite the alert itself being only a volume-spike signal.
Total
$3,035
Trades
1
Win Rate
96%
Wallet P&L
+$3,876,966
Analysis
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
- They bought Cagliari Calcio at 50¢, backing AC Milan not to win by 2+ goals.
- The market saw a 631x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual late interest.
Copy Trade
Buy Cagliari Calcio at 50¢
Detected May 24, 2026 at 6:03 AM