Sharp bettor fading spike

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 24, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly profitable 76% lifetime winner exited a large Yes position after a sharp price spike, making the equivalent copy trade a buy on No at 33¢.
Total
$1,249
Trades
1
Win Rate
77%
Wallet P&L
+$185,284
Analysis
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $137,730 lifetime.
- They sold after Yes jumped about 55 points in a day, suggesting the draw price may have overshot.
- The equivalent copy is buying No at 33¢, while the market is now offering an even cheaper No price around 24¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 33¢
Detected May 24, 2026 at 9:56 PM