Profitable whale in thin market

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 26 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A highly profitable, very active bettor put unusually large money into a thin MLB market and is also trading related markets in the same game.
Total
$7,476
Trades
3
Win Rate
54%
Wallet P&L
-$4,847,265
Analysis
- This bettor is up $1.43M lifetime across more than 60,000 resolved trades.
- Their Padres spread buy was over 20x the market’s recent volume, and the price has already moved from 40¢ to 44¢.
- They are active across 3 related markets in the same game, suggesting a broader MLB thesis rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy San Diego Padres at 40¢
Detected May 27, 2026 at 2:38 AM