Profitable bettor on thin spread

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and New York Mets, scheduled for May 30 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A highly profitable serial sports bettor put $4.7k on the Mets spread in a very thin market, nearly 3x the prior 24h volume.
Total
$4,734
Trades
1
Win Rate
61%
Wallet P&L
+$1,421,352
Analysis
- This bettor has won 63% of 4,654 resolved bets and is up $668k lifetime.
- The $4.7k buy is nearly 3x this market’s 24h volume, showing unusually strong conviction.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see the Mets -2.5 as a roughly 2.2x payoff opportunity.
Copy Trade
Buy New York Mets at 46¢
Detected May 30, 2026 at 10:30 PM