Perfect-record macro timer

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on June 1 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on June 1 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sharp 23-0 wallet bought Up at 15¢ right as the SPX open became knowable, and the market moved to 100%.
Total
$2,772
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$6,639
Analysis
- This bettor is 23-for-23 on resolved trades and is up $6.6k lifetime.
- They bought Up at 15¢ right around the SPX open, before the market repriced to 100%.
- Entry at 15¢ implies they caught a major stale-price opportunity.
Copy Trade
Buy Up at 15¢
Detected June 1, 2026 at 1:42 PM