Profitable serial market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with 1,239 resolved bets is buying No on a long-dated acquisition market at 86¢.
Total
$1,720
Trades
1
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
+$145,760
Analysis
- This bettor has a deep track record: 74% wins across 1,239 resolved bets and $181k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 105 events and 216 markets with $732k tracked volume.
- Buying No at 86¢ shows a high-conviction view that this unlikely acquisition does not happen by 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected June 1, 2026 at 4:17 PM