75% winner on thin market

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between RED Canids Academy and QUINTESSÊNCIA in the Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 2 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids Academy" if RED Canids Academy win the match against QUINTESSÊNCIA. This market will resolve to "QUINTESSÊNCIA" if QUINTESSÊNCIA win the match against RED Canids Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sharp high-volume wallet with a 75% long-run win rate and $2.3M profit made a bet nearly 5x the market’s 24h volume in a very thin esports market.
Total
$2,222
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$2,311,917
Analysis
- This bettor has won 75% of 974 resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- Their $2.2K buy was almost 5x the market’s entire 24h volume.
- The market is thin, with only $2.5K liquidity and a wide spread, so this looks like a high-conviction position.
Copy Trade
Buy RED Canids Academy at 67¢
Detected June 2, 2026 at 6:18 PM