Profitable cross-market whale

In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Poland and Nigeria, scheduled for June 3 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Poland and Nigeria combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A highly profitable, high-volume bettor bought $6.5k of Over at 39¢ on a relatively quiet market, with strong cross-market history and meaningful price dislocation.
Total
$6,487
Trades
1
Win Rate
62%
Wallet P&L
+$10,193,141
Analysis
- This bettor has won 60% of 1,432 resolved bets and is up $8.8M lifetime.
- They put $6.5k on Over, far larger than the market’s recent quiet baseline.
- Entry at 39¢ follows a sharp move lower, implying they see value against the current 40% odds.
Copy Trade
Buy Over at 39¢
Detected June 3, 2026 at 8:49 PM