88% winner on thin market

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 3 match between XI Esport and Clutchain in the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 8 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "XI Esport" if XI Esport win Map 2 against Clutchain. This market will resolve to "Clutchain" if Clutchain win Map 2 against XI Esport. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Surfaced because a highly profitable bettor with an 88% historical win rate made a large XI Esport bet on a very thin esports market.
Total
$2,669
Trades
2
Win Rate
88%
Wallet P&L
+$76,771
Analysis
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $76.8K lifetime.
- They put $2.7K on XI Esport at 52¢, more than 3x this market’s 24h volume.
- The market has already moved to 60%, suggesting their entry had immediate edge.
Copy Trade
Buy XI Esport at 52¢
Detected June 8, 2026 at 7:45 PM