92% winner buying No

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and South Africa, scheduled for June 11 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexis Vega records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Alexis Vega records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Alexis Vega in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Alexis Vega is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 92% record made a large $5,000 No bet in a thin, wide-spread player-prop market.
Total
$5,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$79,028
Analysis
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $79K lifetime.
- They put $5,000 on No in a thin market with only about $9K liquidity.
- Entry at 42¢ implies they see Vega under 2 shots as underpriced.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 42¢
Detected June 11, 2026 at 4:12 PM