Serial cross-market sharp

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly active serial cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate is fading Anthropic by selling it at 82¢, equivalent to buying OpenAI at 18¢.
Total
$2,018
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$40,016
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 310 markets and is up $42K lifetime.
- They are fading the 82¢ favorite, which is equivalent to buying OpenAI at 18¢.
- This wallet has traded across 229 events with about $5.9M in total activity.
Copy Trade
Buy OpenAI at 18¢
Detected June 11, 2026 at 6:59 PM