Sharp cluster fading favorite

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Natus Vincere and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 12 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Legacy. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A high-conviction Legacy underdog cluster includes multiple profitable esports bettors, including a 95% winner and a wallet up $590k, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
Total
$11,903
Trades
6
Analysis
- Four wallets put $11.9k on the Legacy side, including a bettor who wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $17.4k.
- The largest buyer is up $590k lifetime and bought Legacy repeatedly at 29–34¢.
- This is a contrarian underdog position; the market has since moved to 2¢, so the signal is high-upside but clearly against current odds.
Copy Trade
Buy Legacy at 30¢
Detected June 12, 2026 at 4:28 PM