Profitable serial bettor on underdog

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Surface as a contrarian esports longshot because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is part of a 3-wallet same-direction move into TheMongolz, despite the market moving against the entry.
Total
$7,110
Trades
4
Analysis
- A bettor up $590k lifetime is backing the 8% underdog here.
- Three wallets put $7.1k on the same side, including sells of Natus Vincere that convert to TheMongolz buys.
- The trade is underwater from a roughly 15¢ average entry, so the current 8¢ price is cheaper than where the cluster entered.
Copy Trade
Buy TheMongolz at 15¢
Detected June 13, 2026 at 12:04 PM