88% winner buying NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a niche long-dated M&A market.
Total
$1,057
Trades
1
Win Rate
88%
Wallet P&L
+$331,421
Analysis
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $331K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with $294K in tracked activity.
- Buying No at 88¢ signals confidence that a GameStop-eBay deal will not be announced by 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected June 20, 2026 at 1:40 AM