Profitable whale same-game thesis

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 21 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A very high-volume profitable wallet is adding to a same-game Reds thesis in a thin market with major price movement.
Total
$1,537
Trades
1
Win Rate
54%
Wallet P&L
+$2,117,263
Analysis
- This bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across more than 15,000 resolved bets.
- They have $13.1K positioned across 3 markets in the same game, suggesting a broader Reds view.
- The bet hit a thin market with only $564 liquidity and helped push Reds well above the prior price range.
Copy Trade
Buy Cincinnati Reds at 80¢
Detected June 21, 2026 at 8:43 PM