98% win-rate contrarian

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
A serial cross-market trader with a 98% win rate just took a sizable contrarian No position against a 92% Yes market in a low-liquidity weather contract.
Total
$1,737
Trades
1
Win Rate
98%
Wallet P&L
+$4,693
Analysis
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades across 1,429 markets and has traded nearly $922k total
- They bought No at 87¢ while the market now prices Yes at 92%, a strong contrarian call against the crowd
- The $1.7k order was large versus a market with just $276 of liquidity, showing real conviction in a thin contract
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected April 3, 2026 at 8:10 PM