89% winner on thin prop

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise records more than 1.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Michael Olise records 1.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Michael Olise in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Michael Olise is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Sharp high-volume bettor with an 89% historical win rate is placing a large No bet in a very thin props market.
Total
$4,101
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$115,401
Analysis
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $115K lifetime.
- They put $4.1K on No in a market that had only about $120 of prior 24h volume.
- The market is thin with a wide 16¢ spread, so this size suggests strong conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 84¢
Detected June 25, 2026 at 3:07 PM