77% winner buys No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.
A proven profitable bettor with a 77% record is re-entering No on a relatively quiet MicroStrategy margin-call market despite only a weak low-activity signal.
Total
$2,798
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$78,293
Analysis
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $74k lifetime.
- They bought $2.8k of No at 90¢, a large trade relative to recent activity.
- They previously held No around 88¢ and are re-entering at a similar price.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected June 26, 2026 at 2:13 PM