95% win-rate prop sharp

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Surface this: a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Mbappé to score despite only modest bet size.
Total
$2,907
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$460,844
Analysis
- This bettor has won 95% of resolved trades and is up about $450k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 114 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- The market saw a 48x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind this goal-scorer prop.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 57¢
Detected June 26, 2026 at 6:01 PM