84% winner on thin Dota bet

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Hive and Spirit Academy in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hive" if Hive win Game 1 against Spirit Academy. This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win Game 1 against Hive. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Sharp esports bettor with an 84% long-run win rate made a large Hive bet in a thin Dota market, despite the price later moving against them.
Total
$1,440
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$86,732
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $47K lifetime.
- Their $1,440 Hive buy was nearly 9x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 48¢ suggests they saw Hive as much closer to even than the market’s current 25% price.
Copy Trade
Buy Hive at 48¢
Detected June 28, 2026 at 1:37 PM