Smart Money SignalScore: 8.1
80% winner buying thin market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sharp wallet with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Yes in a relatively thin token-launch market while also positioning across related markets.
Total
$2,008
Trades
2
Win Rate
41%
Wallet P&L
+$24,857
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $38k lifetime.
- They put about $2k on Yes in a market with only $5.7k liquidity.
- The wallet is also betting across 2 related markets, suggesting a broader token-launch thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 75¢
Detected July 3, 2026 at 7:45 AM